Final addition this season of my top 50. I didn’t have time this week to do a top 60 like I had hoped, but I’m sure a top 50 list is fine as there is no shortage of draft stuff to check out this time of year.
I cut down the tier’s this time around. The closer we get to the draft (now just a little over 30 hours away), the more I find the group at 30-45 or so just being a massive cluster, and that is how most have it.
I compile information, I don’t get to watch a lot of these kids play so I look around, ask around, do whatever I can to find out how these kids play, and TRY to find out their weaknesses because one thing about when talking about draft prospects is that unless they have attitude issues, nobody will ever point out a flaw. “His skating isn’t great but it is good enough”. No, just say the kid doesn’t skate good. “He’s not the most physical player…” So he’s soft? Just say it! It is likely better for the kid anyway. If you hear something negative about you and DON’T get pissed off and try to prove that person wrong, who would then still want that kid on their team?
So if a kid is considered somewhat soft, I’m not a fan. If a kid is considered an average skater I’m going to knock him down. I’m a bit of a “sizest”, and much to a lot of fans and media’s dismay, a team full of small players rarely wins anything. You can afford to have 3 or 4 real small guys on the roster, but that’s about it. If you want rankings that don’t take size and how a game will translate in the NHL into consideration, check out Corey Pronman of ESPN. That’s not a knock on his work, but I just see things vastly different from him.
This is where someone will point out the exception to the rule. I love how sports is the only walk of life where people will point out the exception to the rule as if that wins an argument. Anyway, the exception to that rule is the 08 Detroit Red Wings and of course now, this seasons Pittsburgh Penguins. Two of the smallest teams all time to win the Cup. Some people want this to be the norm, and I understand that.
That is the exception. The rule is that you win with speed, grit and size. I would definitely say that above being a “sizest” is that I’m a “positionalist”. You win with high end centres and high end defencemen. I take position more importantly than most seem to. I believe that wingers need to have pretty special traits to be picked above centres of a similar skillset or defencemen. Goaltenders are an enormous crap shoot, but I’m not anti goaltenders being taken high (last year for example I was very high on Ilya Samsonov).
Last year when doing this list I talked a lot about tiering the players and that to me it was more important to have tiers than what number the players were ranked. After a few picks, there won’t be much separating players and that’s when it should boil down to need over BPA…because there will likely be hot debates over who is the BPA past pick 3…maybe even pick 2.
Pos: C Ht: 6’2.25 Wt: 216 Shot: L
Comparison: Anze Kopitar
Matthews will come in as one of the most polished all around 1st overall picks. His talent isn’t up there with McDavid, but he’s, very polished and should step right into the 2nd line centre spot on the Leafs, and likely be the 1st line centre by the 17-18 season.
Pos: RW Ht: 6’3.75 Wt: 201 Shot: R
Comparison: Ilya Kovalchuk
CHILL with the Ovechkin comparisons! He’s damn good, but other players have played this style not just Ovechkin. Everyone is in love with him and Puljujarvi, but it is a must you keep in mind that teams simply do not win with these wingers. Everyone always falls in love with them. Rick Nash, Kovalchuk, Thomas Vanek, 3 years ago some were clamouring for Valeri Nichushkin to go as high as 2nd overall. The myth is that these players can do it all and will be unstoppable. The fact is that they are so physically gifted that they’ve never had to think the game. And if they could think the game at a high level, they would be centre’s, not wingers. It doesn’t mean they can’t learn to think it, but that is a talent too. I hope they both have a 2 way game like Marian Hossa, but most wingers of this ilk never become more defensively then they have to be. Having said all this, there are a limited amount of players in the league who have a shot like his, and even less who have a one timer like his. Ovechkin, Stamkos, Subban, Burns, maybe a few others but those are the ones that come to mind and the point is there are VERY few.
Pos: C Ht: 6’2.25 Wt: 205 Shot: L
Comparison: Shane Doan
I’m not going to move off of this point. He’s a 6’2, 205 pound, highly skilled centre who plays a pro style. I am going to take that guy all day over a winger unless the winger is like a Laine where there is 50 goal potential. Puljujarvi might put up more points, but Dubois is going to be the guy who plays in every situation and can lead a team deep into the playoffs. He will need one more year in Cape Breton though, where Puljujarvi will likely step into a lineup next fall.
Pos: RW Ht: 6’3.5 Wt: 203 Shot: R
Comparison: Jakub Voracek
I’m sure some people will think I’m doing this for shock value, whatever. I’ll tell this story again, a few weeks ago I watched The Big Short and for those who haven’t seen it yet it is a true story about Wall Street investors who after doing their research they bet big on the housing market to tank in 2006 and were laughed at for doing so. Of course in 2008, it did, and they made billions. I won’t make billions, or even hundreds on this, but I do really believe Dubois will be a more valuable player than Puljujarvi. Not that I don’t like Puljujarvi, he’s an elite winger. Likely a guy who is going to put up bigger point totals. But there is so much more to it than that.
Pos: LW Ht: 6’1 Wt: 195 Shot: L
Comparison: Corey Perry
Normally when you find a kid who has this kind of competitiveness it is in rounds 3-7 because part of what sparks that game is survival and being overlooked. Tkachuk has had every advantage imaginable growing up! And as I said, he is highly skilled. He can score a finesse goal, a power goal, a greasy goal, and he’s a damn good playmaker too. His skating isn’t great, but he seems to overcome it. What I love most about him though is what he is apparently like in the dressing room. Hearing that he was the glue guy for the Knights this season. Intangibles man, I value them more than most as you’ll see next.
Pos: C Ht: 5’11 Wt: 190 Shot: L
Comparison: Brad Richards
I am essentially calling my shot here. Much like I feel strongly about having Dubois at 3rd when nobody else does, I’m putting Jost at 6, higher than most…if not all. And the biggest reason is his combine interview. He CRUSHED it in the interview process, and I think this kid is going to will himself to be a 1st line NHL centre. He answered the doubts I had about him at the U18’s. Jost is a kid that can play in any situation. Leader, intelligence, compete level, he has all the intangibles. Loved what I saw in Grand Forks though, love even more after what I’ve heard after the combine.
Pos: D Ht: 6’2 Wt: 200 Shot: L
Comparison: Rob Blake
So he has fallen to 13th on Bob McKenzie’s list, and I’m really starting to wonder if he won’t be one of those free fall guys we see every once in a while. I still refuse to move off him though. Now, obviously I’m not talking to these kids, and I admit I compile information so I don’t even watch that much of these kids. But I just refuse to believe the book that this kid can’t process the game. You hear him interviewed, and he comes off as an intelligent kid. This is kind of the book on Darnell Nurse too, yet Nurse is an extremely intelligent kid. I don’t care if a guy is a bit erratic or tries to do too much at times when they’re under 25. If they’re smart, they’ll figure it out. So I still got Chychrun 7th, live with it. As for the draft, I’m thinking in my final mock draft coming out tomorrow, I’ll have him lower than I ever thought imaginable.
Pos: D Ht: 6’2.25 Wt: 221 Shot: L
Comparison: Dougie Hamilton
As much as I love Chychrun, the only thing that separates him and Sergachev for me is that historically it is a higher bust rate with Russians. There really isn’t anything too different with the way either guy plays the game. Both great size, both LH shots, both play physical, both are terrific skaters, both have cannon’s and love to shoot, both can move it well, they’re just very similar in skill sets. Sergachev does impress you in an interview though with how great his English already is. I really wonder if this isn’t why his stock has seemingly gone through the roof to the point that he’s in the discussion for most at 4, 5, and 6.
Pos: D Ht: 6’2.5 Wt: 179 Shot: L
Comparison: Jonas Brodin
I’ve said it all year and I won’t back off it. For me, I still like the all world guy better, and the offensive numbers are a little lower for Juolevi compared to the other two. Still, this is one heck of a prospect. Smooth skater, great breakout pass, great stick defensively and takes great angles. Offensively he’s just very smooth. Walks the line as good as any 18 year old you’ll see, and can distribute the puck extremely well. Kyle Woodlief from the Redline Repot finds him to be soft and that he gets beat in most one on one battles, big time red flag for me. I honestly haven’t noticed this when I watched him this season, but playing for London he didn’t see many of those situations, and on the big ice at the WJC you don’t find yourself in near as many battles. New comparison, this time to Brodin, but I do think he’ll put up bigger numbers than Brodin.
Pos: C Ht: 6’6.25 Wt: 220 Shot: L
Comparison: Viktor Kozlov
Some might scratch their heads at this new comparison I’m using, but Kozlov was the 6th pick in the 93 draft, and had very similar size and game to what Brown has. Well, I’m proud that I had Brown higher than most back when I did the first list, and he proved me right at the U18’s. He and Jost really separated from Kunin at that tournament (in my eyes, though Kunin obviously wasn’t at the U18’s) and Rubtsov but that could be a messy situation for the Russian. Anyway, no chance NHL teams won’t love the package that is Logan Brown. This kid can SKATE despite his massive size! That is tough to pass up if you need a centre. Obviously with this size, Brown gives a team literally a lot to work with. Needs to not only work on his shot, but learn to use his shot a lot more. Right now he’s purely a playmaker.
Pos: C Ht: 6’2 Wt: 185 Shot: R
Comparison: Ryan Kesler
I keep dropping him! I don’t like this! I still like McLeod better than most, because I just fully believe you win in the NHL with a kid like McLeod. Can play in any situation, size, RH shot, this is the type of centre every team craves. Unlikely he becomes a number 1 guy, but a great number 2 guy, and even if he doesn’t meet expectations he’s still going to be a valuable guy to have. I realize he had a poor U18’s, but I believe people are overrating things like skill level (as dumb as that may sound), underrating things like all around game, and I still like him 5-10 years from now to be one of the most valuable players to be picked in this 1st round. When Kesler was drafted, Bob McKenzie said during the broadcast that he would be a 3rd line centre, and we all know he’s exceeded that expectation.
Pos: D Ht: 6’0.75 Wt: 173 Shot: L
Comparison: Tyson Barrie
One of the biggest risers in this years draft. He put up great numbers, but there is just a lot of work to be done. And I watched a guy in Edmonton for 4 seasons who was highly touted, awesome offensively and supposed to figure out the defensive end of the ice. It never happened, and while D play can be learned, the player has to be willing to learn it. Still, there is a spot for the type of player he currently is in today’s NHL.
Pos: D Ht: 6’0.5 Wt: 192 Shot: R
Comparison: Alex Pietrangelo
Same deal as Jost, the teammates answered a lot of my concerns at the U18’s. Fabbro was outstanding, and even though he isn’t THAT big he plays a very complete game. What was I thinking with my Zach Bogosian comparison?! I can be a moron a lot, as you’ve likely noticed, and he is the opposite of Bogosian. Bogosian has all the tools without the tool box (like they believe is the case with Chychrun), where Fabbro is extremely cerebral. He can play in any situation. Not as good of a skater as some of the other potential 1st round D-men, but it’s highly likely he can improve it to another level, it isn’t as though it is a weakness. But he’s tough, intelligent, moves the puck extremely well, great stick and great positionally. Also he’s one of a very few highly ranked D-men in this draft who is a right handed shot.
Pos: C Ht: 5’10 Wt: 164 Shot: L
Comparison: Johnny Gaudreau
Corey Pronman has Keller 4th on his list. Man we just see things different. Not to speak for him, but he seems to base everything completely on point projections on the next level. I prefer players who’ll have the biggest impact on the team and that doesn’t always show up on the stat box. If it’s a perfect situation, then it makes sense to draft him. But rarely does a team ever have a need for a 5’10, sub 170 pound centre. Also, while other area’s of the game can be taught, I think some scouts get caught up in that and simply assume the player will learn, but he has to be willing to do it. I’ve softened my stance on him a bit as you can see by my ranking this time around, but I still just look at players like Keller as final pieces to the puzzle, and teams drafting in the top 10 normally need to finish building the house before they buy the 60 inch 4K TV. I’ll say this though for Keller. If he does end up playing the middle in the pro’s, it’ll be because he’s that damn good and I’m going to look REAL stupid here!
Pos: RW Ht: 6’0.5 Wt: 178 Shot: R
Comparison: Ales Hemsky
Nylander is the same deal as Keller. We aren’t talking about him having Patrick Kane type talent. And again, I don’t HATE Nyalnder at all, an extremely talented kid who can put up a lot of points in the NHL. I have him MUCH lower than most, but I wouldn’t take him top 10 in this draft unless you have a situation similar to the Jets in 2014 when they took a similar guy in Nik Ehlers. They were pretty loaded everywhere and had grit and size, so that’s where it made sense. There are teams who can really use a guy like Nylander, like Keller, I just would want to make damn sure I had the more important holes filled first.
Pos: D Ht: 6’0.25 Wt: 199 Shot: R
Comparison: Keith Yandle
Full disclosure, I get sick of doing write up’s on a lot of the D-men who come out of the USHL/NCAA. They are all SO similar. Smooth skating, puck movers who have big questions about playing in traffic and playing with the type of toughness it takes to play in the NHL. Now don’t get me wrong, we see a LOT of Canadian D-men like this, European D-men like this, but the States produce a ton of the same type of D-man. McAvoy is one of these guys. Does a great job quarterbacking the PP, does a nice job of jumping in the play when the time is right, and while he’s not physical he takes good angles and has a good stick. Kyle Woodlief and the guys at Redline Report sure aren’t high on McAvoy at all and I have a lot of respect for their insight.
Pos: LW Ht: 6’3 Wt: 205 Shot: L
Comparison: Boone Jenner
Much like with the other power forwards, I love how Jones game SHOULD translate. Also, it has to be tough for him in London playing behind so many guys like Marner, Tkachuk, Dvorak, etc. He plays an old school power forward game, he has a nasty streak. Combine that with the way he can skate and shoot, I have to think he’ll be capable down the line of being a complimentary top 6 player. Not a driver of a line, but a perfect guy to pair with your skilled players.
Pos: RW Ht: 6’3 Wt: 231 Shot: R
Comparison: James Neal
Upside is great, but the motor is the big question with this kid and a lot of kids seemingly keep passing him on the rankings. I still can’t help but think how valuable he’s going to be if he puts it together. For this comparison I completely admit I’m echoing what Craig Button said. The comparison to Neal is just spot on. He won’t put guys on their ass very often, but he is great down low and on the wall, has real good wheels and an awesome shot.
Pos: C Ht: 6’0.5 Wt: 190 Shot: L
Comparison: Tomas Plekanec
Ok so I have no idea what to make of him, as he was in the middle of the drug scandal with the Russian U18 team. So does this hurt his draft ranking? I don’t see how it won’t. But I still love the way he plays the game, and still think he’s a top 20 or so prospect. A true 2 way centre who can be a 2nd, 3rd, or 4th line centre on a team so whoever picks him at worse is likely getting an NHL player. But he definitely is expected to be a 2nd line centre who a team will be able to use in any situation. Good size, speed, vision, shot, IQ, he just does everything very well. If he can take his offensive game to another level, this kid could develop into a 1st line centre someday. I’ll have him higher in my rankings than I will in my mock drafts, unless we get an answer one way or another whether or not the scandal will hurt him.
Pos: C Ht: 5’11.25 Wt: 193 Shot: R
Comparison: Derek Stepan
Plays a very smart game. I don’t know if I like a comparison better than Kunin to Stepan and while I did come up with that, I’m sure I can’t be the only one making this comparison. Great speed, great shot, and a great motor (I’m using motor now instead of compete level, easier to type). He’ll be one of the safer picks in this draft.
Pos: LW Ht: 6’0 Wt: 197 Shot: L
Comparison: Brian Bellows
I’m sorry if you want a different comparison, but he does, he plays like his old man. Bellows is the type of guy I’m not as high on. He’s a one dimensional winger. I know a lot of people like him and have him ranked around 15, but to me, I just don’t see him as more than a one dimensional guy much like a Brett Connolly, or Anthony Mantha in past year’s. No, you don’t get a complete player, but he is a kid who will fill the net if he has the right centre feeding him the puck.
Pos: LW Ht: 6’5 Wt: 211 Shot: L
Comparison: Chris Kreider
I want to know why Tufte didn’t want to play in the USHL. Left Fargo after 12 games, and that’s a red flag. The competition he is now playing against is also a big red flag. He’s a boom or bust guy. Is he Hugh Jessiman, or is he Blake Wheeler? But there is no denying his domination of the Minnesota high school ranks. If a team has a stocked cupboard, they might be willing to take a shot on him. The Kreider comparison is basically spot on if you look at Kreider in his draft year. Scouts were intrigued about the skill set, but worried about the competition he had played against. Great skater for a kid this size, great shot, has a little bit of a mean streak, good vision too.
Pos: D Ht: 6’7 Wt: 224 Shot: L
Comparison: Brooks Orpik
He’s a classic stay at home D-man, a dying breed. But any coach will take a guy who can put out against the other teams top line and eat 25 minutes a night. But is Stanley going to be that guy, Orpik was that kind of guy for a lot of years. Or, will he just be an Eric Gryba type? He’s more mobile than Gryba, but we’ll see. He does show some flashes offensively, but chances are he’s just a stay at home guy. But I’m a guy who still believes you need 1 or 2 D-men like this and being so unique, worst case scenario is he’ll get a lot of chances to make it. You hear about complimentary wingers, well I see Stanley as perhaps a complimentary defenceman. The type of guy you want your top puck mover to have on the opposite side.
Pos: RW Ht: 6’1 Wt: 174 Shot: R
Comparison: Ryan Strome
I’m a big fan of Dubois (I got him 3rd so I think you know this), Laberge was the MVP of the prospects game. He showed off how skilled he is in that game, and while it’s just 1 game it’s a big game. Your going against the best prospects in the CHL, it’s a big stage, and he showed up. Was the 2nd overall pick in the 2014 QMJHL draft, and had a tough start to his Q career last season and was dealt to Victoriaville. But this season he’s starting to show why he was that pick. He’s really slick, the question will be whether or not he’s willing to get his nose dirty and can do it in traffic.
Pos: RW Ht: 5’10 Wt: 167 Shot: R
Comparison: Dave Bolland
He’s limited, but I love the way this kid plays and it’s gone from most liking him a lot more than me, to me liking him a lot more than most. He’s really going to have to fill out to play the feisty game in the pro’s. Still, a lot of talent and an extremely high motor. A kid like this I believe will be helped out a lot by a team like the Pens winning the Cup.
Pos: C Ht: 6’2 Wt: 190 Shot: L
Comparison: Shawn Horcoff
This is the type of kid any team would love. And his scouting report really reminds me of Ryan O’Reilly (even though Horcoff is the comparison). Honest player, gritty as can be, will do anything to win. He reaches his potential and he’s wearing a “C” some day in the show. It was tough for me to have him behind some of the kids I have him behind, but the fact is the heart and soul guys are no sure thing either. Perfect example right now is Anton Lander in Edmonton. He’s a heart and soul guy, wore a “C” at every level, he’s simply not good enough. Howden is a better skater than both of those guys though and he’s a pretty safe bet to be at least a bottom 6 centre, and a kid all Cup contenders need.
Pos: D Ht: 5’11.75 Wt: 184 Shot: L
Comparison: Matt Niskanen
Another dip in my rankings again, I honestly find him to be a tough kid to slot, especially knowing I have a bit of a bias. Clague has just gotten better and better as the season has gone on, which is a very different route from most who start the season as projected top 10 picks. His game elevated after the prospects game, elevated even more when the playoffs began. He was maybe been the Wheat Kings best player in the playoffs. Remember, they have Ivan Provorov. Again I’ll say, he has a ways to go with his defensive game, but he is back on track after a rough start to the season that saw his draft ranking plummet.
Pos: D Ht: 6’1 Wt: 177 Shot: L
Comparison: Josh Gorges
2 red flags are the competition he played against and the fact that he’s currently only 170 (though we’ll see if that’s improved once they measure him at the combine). Those aren’t bad red flags though, just makes teams hold off on drafting him until the proper time. He is great offensively though and will likely have teams intrigued.
Pos: D Ht: 6’1.75 Wt: 175 Shot: L
Comparison: Anton Stralman
The Rockets have a BIT of a history of developing D-men, and Ryan’s little brother could be the next in that line. Some like him as much as Clague and it’s tough to argue. Similar size and attributes. But Clague’s playoff performance as pushed him up the board a little more in my eyes. Still, if a team needs a D-man late in the 1st, Johansen would be a safe bet. Real solid at both ends of the ice. Not very physical, but he has a great stick defensively.
Pos: G Ht: 6’1.5 Wt: 190 Glove: L
Comparison: Tuukka Rask
This kid really boosted his stock at the U18’s, he was fabulous. He had a very inconsistent season, but for me I’m more forgiving of D-men and goaltenders who have inconsistent seasons as 18 year olds than wingers or centres. Pretty tough to find a U20 team like Gustavsson played for that has total buy in from their forwards to a 200 foot game, which will obviously hurt the D and tendy’s. He is technically sound and depends on his positioning a little too much. When he improvises is when he becomes elite so he just needs to learn to do so more often.
Pos: C Ht: 6’1.5 Wt: 192 Shot: R
Comparison: Frans Nielsen
He’s risen a ton for a lot of people as scouts have looked closer at him. Obviously in London he’s hidden behind a lot of high end talent. But the more people watch them, the more they are noticing this extremely well rounded centre who is giving a big effort every night. Pu is a bit of a project, but a safe project. Once he fills out, and gets more ice time, we’ll see if he’s a bottom 6 guy or a top 6 guy.
Pos: C Ht: 5’10.25 Wt: 176 Shot: L
Comparison: Mikkael Granlund
Will he play the middle should he make the show? I don’t know, he’s right on that line of centre or winger. I would project him as a winger, but when he fills out he should play around 190 so it isn’t as though he is too small. He is a limited player offensively, but he plays with some edge and works his ass off. The worry with a kid like Asplund and next up Steel is if they are “tweeners” much like Sam Gagner and Cody Hodgson are. Good enough to play in the league, but no real role for them.
Pos: C Ht: 5’11 Wt: 178 Shot: L
Comparison: Mike Riberio
I thought about it, and asked myself “why should Asplund be an early 2nd rounder and Steel be so much lower”. You won’t get 2 players more similar in this draft. One of the best playmakers in the draft, putting up a point per game, yet some scouts have soured on him. For me it’s more of an issue of his skating being good enough to overcome his size which he obviously isn’t tiny, but not at all big.
Pos: D Ht: 6’1.5 Wt: 196 Shot: L
Comparison: Dan Hamhuis
Has good wheels and is very gritty. Point totals have really dropped off. Had 13 points in the first 18 games, just 13 points in his final 51. But when you see him play you can see the talent is there to do it at both ends of the ice. Still, even if he never develops offensive consistency, he’ll be a miserable guy to play against.
Pos: D Ht: 6’5 Wt: 189 Shot: L
Comparison: Mattias Ekholm
Plays an extremely safe game. I would say there is more offensive upside with Niemelainen then there is with Hajek, but Hajek has a lot more bite in his game. Obviously he has a lot of filling out to do, but normally lanky guys like this are awkward skaters. Niemelainen though is a very smooth and effective skater.
Pos: LW Ht: 6’1.25 Wt: 190 Shot: L
Comparison: Justin Abdelkader
Katchouk is the first of 3 guys who have good size (he is the smallest of the 3), play a tough game, but have skating issues. I believe Katchouk is the best skater of the 3, and he’s got the better 200 foot game of the 3. He also put up pretty good numbers (51 points in 63 games) while playing with lesser talent. Bastian had McLeod and Nylander on his line, Raddysh played with Strome and DeBrincat. That’s going to help anyone.
Pos: LW Ht: 5’10.5 Wt: 183 Shot: L
Comparison: Brendan Gallagher
He’s small but this kid has bite in his game. He’s been able to shine this season for the top ranked team and defending WHL champs, going at over a point per game pace. Dube really shows no fear out on the ice and is willing to play a very greasy game. You hate to play against him, but you love him on your team. Didn’t have a great playoff showing, just 2 goals and 5 assists in 18 games, but teams were able to key in on him.
Pos: LW Ht: 5’11.5 Wt: 197 Shot: L
Comparison: Mark Stone
I had a real tough time slotting Benson this time around. I knew his skating wasn’t great, but when I see more and more scouts being concerned about it then it really concerns me. I think he really has to change the way he plays to succeed in the NHL, but he has the ability to do just that. He is one of those kids who might be a smart enough player to overcome the lack of wheels, and it isn’t as though he can’t improve his skating.
Pos: RW Ht: 5’11.5 Wt: 195 Shot: L
Comparison: Patric Hornqvist
He’ll play in the show, it’ll just be a matter of whether he will be a top 6 winger or top 9 winger. Out of all the comparisons I have (50 in case you’re keeping count), I don’t know if any is more spot on than Hornqvist to Grundstrom. High motor, isn’t that big but miserable to play against and wreaks havoc down low and in front of the net.
Pos: RW Ht: 6’0 Wt: 169 Shot: R
Comparison: Tobias Rieder
Has some filling out to do, but he’s one of the safest picks you can find if he’ll still be around in the 30-40 range because he’s really intelligent, a good skater, and has a real good compete level. Can he play in a team’s top 6? Don’t know. But he’ll play in your top 9 and be one of your coaches favourites.
Pos: C Ht: 6’5.5 Wt: 195 Shot: R
Comparison: Nik Antropov
I’ve soured on him after doing some more research. Credit Redline Report with this, and that of his 14 goals this season, only 1 was 5 on 5. I’d be interested in taking him for any team because as you can read he has assets you can’t teach, but he is a big time project. His defensive play is pretty good for an 18 year old kid, so that does intrigue me a bit, the RH shot helps, but it’s still not enough for me to have him higher. So he goes from a top 30 guy for me to outside the top 40. Mid 2nd round he sounds a lot more appealing than with a 1st round selection.
Pos: RW Ht: 5’9 Wt: 175 Shot: L
Comparison: Cam Atkinson
I’ve shot him up a bit this time around. Only a few spots, but more importantly I have him up in this 9th tier. Apparently was one of the top interviews at the combine, which for me is a bigger deal than it probably is to most. I still have him pretty low for a kid who had 93 points in just 63 games this season. Obviously size is a large part of that, but I don’t doubt this kid can be a 2nd line winger in the pro’s. It’s just that outside of being a scorer I have my doubts he can contribute elsewhere.
Pos: RW Ht: 5’7 Wt: 165 Shot: R
Comparison: Mats Zuccarello
A lot of analytic people won’t like this ranking, but the size is just too concerning. I realize he put up terrific numbers this season, but not only is he short, he’s slight. Obviously the comparison comes from the size, but also because both players play with some bite. The question for me is whether or not DeBrincat has, not the speed, but the kind of speed he’ll need to overcome his lack of size. He put up monster numbers with Dylan Strome this season though (101 points).
Pos: RW Ht: 6’4.5 Wt: 206 Shot: R
Comparison: Patrick Maroon
Is it because of playing with McLeod and Nylander that he’s improved so much, or is it just coincidence? Tough not to love his game. Very physical, does all the little things you want a player to do.
Pos: RW Ht: 6’1.5 Wt: 203 Shot: R
Comparison: Troy Brouwer
Having a great year, has nice size, has a well rounded game, but his skating is a question mark and will likely keep him out of the 1st round. Also much like Nathan Bastian, are his numbers (73 points) strictly a result of playing with Strome and to a lesser extent DeBrincat?
Pos: LW Ht: 6’1 Wt: 194 Shot: L
Comparison: Brayden Schenn
You have to think of what Schenn has developed into, not what he was projected to be, and you have Smith. I LOVE this kid. Of course, if I got him ranked I obviously like him, but the guy is a bull out on the ice. High motor, has a bit of skill too, not to say he will be one of these guys but if you’re looking for a Jamie Benn or Milan Lucic in this draft I would put my money on Smith. On a bad Storm team he managed 23 goals and 42 points in 65 games.
Pos: G Ht: 6’1 Wt: 184 Glove: L
Comparison: Corey Crawford
A lot of people have other goaltenders ahead of Parsons. He’s not that big, and he’s playing behind a great team. But he was great in the OHL playoffs, particularly in the series against Kitchener, and then proved it further with a great Memorial Cup.
Pos: RW Ht: 6’1.5 Wt: 205 Shot: R
Comparison: Jamie McGinn
A new addition to my top 50 this time around. Allison was a guy who I JUST left off last time around, but won’t this time. He’s just a real solid all around winger who can be moved up and down the lineup and play in any situation. No glaring weakness.
Pos: D Ht: 5’10.75 Wt: 185 Shot: R
Comparison: Torrey Krug
I’ve found more and more on Fox as the week’s have gone on, and I keep liking what I read. I’d be flat out lying to you if I said I’ve seen him play. But he is bigger than I thought (as you can read, measured at nearly 5’11 at the combine), plays with a lot of poise, as you would expect from a smaller puck moving D he is a smooth skater, and in a draft that really lacks right handed shot D-men, he is one of the few.
Pos: G Ht: 6’1 Wt: 180 Glove: L
Comparison: Jarolsav Halak
I think Hart is right there with Parsons and not far behind Gustavsson in this draft, so look for him to go anywhere from the early 2nd to the early 3rd round. Size is the only thing that may prevent him from making it to the show some day.
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