NHL Picks – Nov. 11, 2017
Damnit! Back to back losing weeks. 2-3, now 14-10-1 on the season. Last week wasn’t bad at all though, just really shitty luck. The Jets had a 4-2 lead in the third period in their game against the Habs. Canucks got a late one against the Pens to take that game from under to over, but didn’t in anyway feel guilty because that was the right pick. I felt great about those picks, it just went poorly. This week, once again I feel great about the picks this week so I’m likely due for a winning week. It’s much like a team coming off a losing streak. They seem to always lose one they deserve to win before they break out of it, and that was my one I deserved to win.
Edmonton at NY Rangers
The payout isn’t all that great for this one, but knowing the Oilers the way I do I feel like this is easy money. They’ve had two afternoon games so far this season. The first one they looked horrendous in the first period, but luckily escaped only down 1-0 and righted the ship in the last 40 minutes, only to lose on a late goal. The other was the abomination which took place at Rogers Place six days ago. This team still lacks a ton of focus despite finally winning back to back games, and I don’t expect that to change today. Meanwhile, the Rangers play afternoon games quite regularly, so this game should be no problem for them. As of writing this, the number is -125. But by the time you read this, I suspect you can get the Rangers at -110 or even better.
Edmonton at NY Rangers
Under 5.5 (+105)
I’ve rode the Leafs going over for a month now, and I believe the worst they did in that time was push. The Oilers on the road are an under team. The number is normally 5.5 for over/under’s, and their games have gone under every single time on the road this season. So the fact that you can get the under at +105 is insane. Plus, look at the scores around the league lately, a large amount of games with five goals or less. Take this one and run.
Minnesota at Philadelphia
Flyers -1.5 (+235)
This is a calculated risk. Two pretty evenly matched teams, but the Wild have been struggling this season and will be playing they third game in four nights. The Flyers are a well rested team coming off a big 3-1 win over the Hawks at home on Thursday. That was their first game in four days, so as I just said…they’re well rested. So like I said it’s a calculated risk, but at +235 this feels like far too good of value to turn down.
Chicago at Carolina
This is simple. The Hurricanes played last night in Columbus while the Hawks have been sitting in Raleigh waiting for them. I understand its a massive game for Scott Darling playing his ex teammates, but at +100 the Hawks are the smart money.
Winnipeg at Arizona
Same logic here as with the Hawks/Canes game. The Coyotes were off last night while the Jets were in Vegas playing the Golden Knights. The Jets are without a doubt the better team, but on the second half of a back to back. And then look at the week the Coyotes have had. Took the Caps to OT, played the Pens tough, took the Blues to a shootout and from all accounts deserved to get the win in regulation of that game. So they’re due. I really like the way the Jets have played this season, but they aren’t so good yet that the Yotes can’t win in this spot.
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