NHL Picks – Nov. 11, 2017
Damnit! Back to back losing weeks. 2-3, now 14-10-1 on the season. Last week wasn’t bad at all though, just really shitty luck. The Jets had a 4-2 lead in the third period in their game against the Habs. Canucks got a late one against the Pens to take that game from under to over, but didn’t in anyway feel guilty because that was the right pick. I felt great about those picks, it just went poorly. This week, once again I feel great about the picks this week so I’m likely due for a winning week. It’s much like a team coming off a losing streak. They seem to always lose one they deserve to win before they break out of it, and that was my one I deserved to win.
Edmonton at NY Rangers
Rangers -125
The payout isn’t all that great for this one, but knowing the Oilers the way I do I feel like this is easy money. They’ve had two afternoon games so far this season. The first one they looked horrendous in the first period, but luckily escaped only down 1-0 and righted the ship in the last 40 minutes, only to lose on a late goal. The other was the abomination which took place at Rogers Place six days ago. This team still lacks a ton of focus despite finally winning back to back games, and I don’t expect that to change today. Meanwhile, the Rangers play afternoon games quite regularly, so this game should be no problem for them. As of writing this, the number is -125. But by the time you read this, I suspect you can get the Rangers at -110 or even better.
Edmonton at NY Rangers
Under 5.5 (+105)
I’ve rode the Leafs going over for a month now, and I believe the worst they did in that time was push. The Oilers on the road are an under team. The number is normally 5.5 for over/under’s, and their games have gone under every single time on the road this season. So the fact that you can get the under at +105 is insane. Plus, look at the scores around the league lately, a large amount of games with five goals or less. Take this one and run.
Minnesota at Philadelphia
Flyers -1.5 (+235)
This is a calculated risk. Two pretty evenly matched teams, but the Wild have been struggling this season and will be playing they third game in four nights. The Flyers are a well rested team coming off a big 3-1 win over the Hawks at home on Thursday. That was their first game in four days, so as I just said…they’re well rested. So like I said it’s a calculated risk, but at +235 this feels like far too good of value to turn down.
Chicago at Carolina
Blackhawks +100
This is simple. The Hurricanes played last night in Columbus while the Hawks have been sitting in Raleigh waiting for them. I understand its a massive game for Scott Darling playing his ex teammates, but at +100 the Hawks are the smart money.
Winnipeg at Arizona
Coyotes +105
Same logic here as with the Hawks/Canes game. The Coyotes were off last night while the Jets were in Vegas playing the Golden Knights. The Jets are without a doubt the better team, but on the second half of a back to back. And then look at the week the Coyotes have had. Took the Caps to OT, played the Pens tough, took the Blues to a shootout and from all accounts deserved to get the win in regulation of that game. So they’re due. I really like the way the Jets have played this season, but they aren’t so good yet that the Yotes can’t win in this spot.
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