NHL Picks – Nov. 11, 2017

Damnit!  Back to back losing weeks.  2-3, now 14-10-1 on the season.  Last week wasn’t bad at all though, just really shitty luck.  The Jets had a 4-2 lead in the third period in their game against the Habs.  Canucks got a late one against the Pens to take that game from under to over, but didn’t in anyway feel guilty because that was the right pick.  I felt great about those picks, it just went poorly.  This week, once again I feel great about the picks this week so I’m likely due for a winning week.  It’s much like a team coming off a losing streak.  They seem to always lose one they deserve to win before they break out of it, and that was my one I deserved to win.

Edmonton at NY Rangers

Rangers -125

The payout isn’t all that great for this one, but knowing the Oilers the way I do I feel like this is easy money.  They’ve had two afternoon games so far this season.  The first one they looked horrendous in the first period, but luckily escaped only down 1-0 and righted the ship in the last 40 minutes, only to lose on a late goal.  The other was the abomination which took place at Rogers Place six days ago.  This team still lacks a ton of focus despite finally winning back to back games, and I don’t expect that to change today.  Meanwhile, the Rangers play afternoon games quite regularly, so this game should be no problem for them.  As of writing this, the number is -125.  But by the time you read this, I suspect you can get the Rangers at -110 or even better.

Edmonton at NY Rangers

Under 5.5 (+105)

I’ve rode the Leafs going over for a month now, and I believe the worst they did in that time was push.  The Oilers on the road are an under team.  The number is normally 5.5 for over/under’s, and their games have gone under every single time on the road this season.  So the fact that you can get the under at +105 is insane.   Plus, look at the scores around the league lately, a large amount of games with five goals or less.  Take this one and run.

Minnesota at Philadelphia

Flyers -1.5 (+235)

This is a calculated risk.  Two pretty evenly matched teams, but the Wild have been struggling this season and will be playing they third game in four nights.  The Flyers are a well rested team coming off a big 3-1 win over the Hawks at home on Thursday.  That was their first game in four days, so as I just said…they’re well rested.  So like I said it’s a calculated risk, but at +235 this feels like far too good of value to turn down.

Chicago at Carolina

Blackhawks +100

This is simple.  The Hurricanes played last night in Columbus while the Hawks have been sitting in Raleigh waiting for them.  I understand its a massive game for Scott Darling playing his ex teammates, but at +100 the Hawks are the smart money.

Winnipeg at Arizona

Coyotes +105

Same logic here as with the Hawks/Canes game.  The Coyotes were off last night while the Jets were in Vegas playing the Golden Knights.  The Jets are without a doubt the better team, but on the second half of a back to back.  And then look at the week the Coyotes have had.  Took the Caps to OT, played the Pens tough, took the Blues to a shootout and from all accounts deserved to get the win in regulation of that game.  So they’re due.  I really like the way the Jets have played this season, but they aren’t so good yet that the Yotes can’t win in this spot.

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