NFL Picks – Week 12

Well….F YOU NFL!!!  0-4-1 hey?  What the hell happened to 62% that I went last season?!  I was once really good at doing this!!  Now I’m just lost, absolutely no clue as to what’s going to happen week to week.  I guess that’s what we love about sports, but man alive there is just simply zero pattern to what is happening this season.  Maybe I’ll get a great bounce back week to even things up for me, but at this point…I doubt it!  Use these at your own risk!!

Carolina at Miami

Carolina -4

NORMALLY, I’m taking Miami here.  4 doesn’t seem like a big enough number in this spot, Panthers are on a short week, coming off 2 huge wins, the Dolphins have all the distractions off the field and have been terrible after the 3-0 start, so take the fins to catch the Panthers in a letdown game.  Logic has burned me too many times this season.  I use logic in my other picks this week, but I’m going to go against it here.  The Panthers just have a different feel right now.  It feels like they’re keep focused, and will make life miserable for Ryan Tannehill and that weakened Dolphins O-line.

Tampa Bay at Detroit

Tampa Bay +8.5

I don’t like the matchup for the Lions here, which doesn’t mean by any means that I like them to lose, just not blow out the Bucs.  Tampa is coming off 2 wins and finally look like they have their shot together, Revis is the one corner who might be able to slow Calvin Johnson down, Tampa’s D in general is pretty good, and Mike Glennon is at least proving he belongs in the league.  Don’t think he is the answer there, but he has a ton of upside so who knows.  Tampa will keep this game tight, but the Lions will walk out with a tough win.

Indianapolis at Arizona

Arizona -2.5

Sucker bet alert!  Suck bet alert!  Indy is WAAAAAAAYYY better than Arizona, so obviously despite being on the road the Colts are going to roll the Cards right?  Go the other way and take the Cards.  I believe I have been undefeated this season when making this call.  I had 3 weeks in a row where I called a game like this and hit it out of the park.  It’s a general rule for inexperienced bettors, whatever you think, go the other way.

Dallas at NY Giants

Dallas +2.5

Don’t forget, the Giants are winning but they aren’t beating good teams.  Before they started getting a weak schedule they were dreadful.  Meanwhile the Cowboys are much more talented and are coming off a bye week.  Cowboys haters, and even their fans themselves will look at this game and think “this is a game the Cowboys ALWAYS lose”.  But again this simply isn’t the same Giants team as past seasons.  Don’t get fooled by their wins, and don’t get fooled by the Cowboys inconsistent play.  Love the Cowboys here.

Denver at New England

New England +2

The biggest thing for me here…the weather.  It is supposed to be brutal this weekend in the Boston area.  When has Peyton Manning ever won a game in frigid conditions like that?  He doesn’t.  But Tom Brady on the other hand, he is incredible in these games for the most part.  Add on top of that the Pats are now healthy, at home, and getting points….this is a tap in.  Take the Pats getting points.

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