NFL picks – divisonal playoffs

 

Well that went BAD!!!  1-6, and to be very honest….I felt great about those picks going in!  Trust me, I took a bath on those games, and I believe a ton of people did as well.  I know my man Colin Cowherd had almost the exact same picks (and I had mine posted before he did his…no cheating here).  When 2 of the 4 QB’s that you bet on are hurt it’s clearly not going to be your weekend.  But, chance to bounce back this weekend.  Awesome games this weekend.  The 2 NFC games look like they’ll be tight, the 2 AFC games are lines of 9.5 and 10 respectively.

 

Baltimore at Denver

Baltimore +9.5

Under 46.5

I know I usually start off talking about a dog like this, but this is WAY too many points to give the Ravens.  This team is highly motivated.  Don’t forget, this might not be the last run for only Ray Lewis.  Ed Reed has flirted with retirement for a few seasons now.  And for the first time all season, the famed Ravens defense actually looked like the Ravens defense.  And everyone is selling on Joe Flacco.  I wrote a piece after the AFC championship game last season saying “don’t blame Flacco” and in it I mentioned how people would forget that he had them in the Super Bowl.  Lee Evans had a horrible end zone drop late in that game which would have sealed it, and Billy Cundiff missed a chip shot that would have tied the game.  Flacco did the job and he’s done the job in a lot of big spots in his career that people choose to ignore.  Add to this the Broncos will likely be rusty.  I expect a low scoring game here (hence taking the under), and I expect the Ravens to keep it close.  They AT LEAST keep this within a TD, I don’t understand the line being so big for a playoff game.

 

Green Bay at San Francisco

Green Bay +3

Everyone is taking the Pack in this game which makes me a little uneasy.  This Niners defense will come into this game pissed off having heard all week how they’ll be 1 and done.  But Aaron Rodgers has been pissed since he fell to 24 in the draft, and you can bet your ass he’ll be fired up for taking on the team that passed on him in that draft and the team that he grew up cheering for.  I like Colin Kaepernick but it is so tough to take a rookie QB when he’s facing a guy who has been the league MVP, has won the Super Bowl, and might be the best QB in the game today.  I’m not like everyone else in thinking the Packers are a slam dunk to win this game, it was a pretty similar situation last year when the Saints who also had won the Super Bowl 2 years previous and had an MVP/Super Bowl winning QB on their side and the Niners walked out of that classic with the win.  Having said that, the points are too tough not to take.

 

Seattle at Atlanta

Seattle +3

Under 46

Don’t put all the Seahawks win on RGIII getting hurt.  He still played, he was still making good throws, and while yes there were some drops this is one of the scariest defenses in the league.  And Russell Wilson I thought was a rookie?  He was outstanding in that win.  Now, they’re facing a fired up Falcons team that has had the playoffs on their mind since that disaster in the Meadowlands last January.  2 very tough defenses going up against each other, so take the under, and while I fully expect the Falcons to come out very hard in this game I just have to take the Seahawks getting the points.  They’re the hottest team in the leauge.

 

Houston at New England

Houston +10

Over 48

2nd week in a row where I’m taking all the dogs.  That is a freak thing that happened last week and I just can’t see it happening 2 weeks in a row.  The Texans have not forgotten what happened the last time they went to Foxboro.  Now, Matt Schaub I don’t believe has what it takes to go in there and beat Tom Brady in this game.  But I fully expect them to play with a bit of a chip on their shoulders and better prepared than they were in the last game.  Of course the weather could play a factor, but I checked the forecast and things look real good on Sunday neither team should be effected.  Both offenses can put up a lot of points and neither defense is elite so the over seems like the right bet here.  Pats win but the Texans make it a game.

 

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