NFL Picks – Week 3

In the words of Queen Elizabeth II…hell yes, week 3 of the 2014 NFL season is here….end quote.  Well last week went bad but it went good too depending on how you look at things.  Every pick I made in the piece last week combined to go 4-3.  So you win money.  BUT I said the Arizona pick wouldn’t count, and I haven’t been counting the 1 over/under pick I’ve been making so far this season.  So TECHNICALLY I had another losing week at 2-3 ATS, 3-7 on the season ATS.  Call me crazy, I think it’s going to turnaround for me with these picks, so much so that this week I’m making 7 picks ATS as well as the over/under pick.  So this season far….yikes!  This week could make or break me.

Dallas at St.Louis

St.Louis +1.5

I still don’t believe in the Cowboys.  The Rams are at home, that D will be difficult for the Cowboys to deal with, and even though the Rams don’t have much of an offense and the Cowboys D has played good thus far, I still believe the Rams will put up enough points to win this game.

Houston at NY Giants

Giants pick’em

2-0 loses to 0-2?  Yep.  Vegas is smart, and they know the public is going to go big on the Texans because the Giants look so bad.  I mean just last week they lost to Drew Stanton.  Their O-line is terrible and now has to stop J.J. Watt.  They might not have Jon Beason.  Take the Giants.  The Giants are a desperate team and Coughlin is too good of a coach, Manning is too talented of a QB not to get this ship at least somewhat turned around.  And the Texans have looked good so far but they aren’t as good as they’ve looked.

Minnesota at New Orleans

New Orleans -9.5

Ok so the Saints are likely pissed, and the Vikings are without their top player and have had nothing but distractions this week.  I just would be outright shocked if this was anything close.  The Vikings aren’t the worst team in the league without Peterson, but they sure don’t pose much of a threat.  I could keep rambling here, but what else can I say?  Saints in a blowout.

Washington at Philadelphia

Washington +6

I don’t know if anyone has noticed, but Philly hasn’t been good.  They’ve been good in the 2nd halves of both their games because Chip Kelly is such a great coach.  But they’ve come out flat in both games.  Then you have the Redsk….the Washington’s who had perhaps a huge blessing in disguise in RGIII getting injured.  Kirk Cousins is good and he’s a much better fit for Jay Gruden’s offense.  Also the Red Washington’s D has looked good, although against 2 piss poor QB’s in Ryan Fitzpatrick and Chad Henne.  Still, love the Waskins to maybe win this game outright, but play it safe and take the 6.5.

San Francisco at Arizona

San Francisco -3

I’m pretty stunned this is only -3 with Drew Stanton starting for the Cards.  He was solid last week but that was the Giants, this is the Niners.  Sure, the Niners are expected to fall off this season not just by me but by many.  And last week may have been the start of that demise.  But they still have a lightning quick D, and Colin Kaepernick, while he is far from my favorite QB, is one of the most talented QB’s in the league and can make a lot of things happen.  Also don’t forget this…Jim Harbaugh teams are extremely tough coming off loses.

Denver at Seattle

Seattle -4.5

The Broncos will be ready for this game but quite simply as I said making last weeks picks, I have given up on betting against the Seahawks, especially at home.  Last week was a stupid bet that I would normally never make but I keep losing picking against this team so I’m done with it.  I feel a lot more comfortable in this spot.  At home, and they’re a nightmare matchup for the Broncos as we seen in last year’s Super Bowl.  I’m thinking this is a closer game, but still a blowout.  Maybe the most lopsided matchup is Pete Carroll vs John Fox.  I don’t think Fox is a BAD coach, but I’ve always felt he was overrated.  Watch for the Seahawks really to take the game by the throat in the 2nd half after both have made their adjustments.

Chicago at NY Jets

Chicago +2.5

The Bears are going to win this game outright.  I don’t like that they’re banged up and coming off a tough game against the Niners.  And the Jets have a talented squad.  But this is Jay Cutler vs Geno Smith.  Yes, picks will be thrown in this game.  But Cutler also throws a lot of TD’s where Smith is lagging in that category.  It’s not Geno’s fault he hardly has help on his side of the football.  The Bears are just simply the better team and quite frankly I’m stunned they’re getting points in this game.

Washington at Philadelphia

Over 50

I go back to this game again, and again it’s Philly for the over/under, and again this might get scary as the Eagles have started very slow 2 weeks in a row.  But we know that offense is explosive, you know Jackson will be pumped up to be back in Philly, you know Cousins looks awesome in Jay Gruden’s offense, I’m really at a loss as to why this is only 50 points.  I know Washington has a D that’s played tough thus far but again Ryan Fitzpatrick and Chad Henne aren’t exactly elite QB’s.  Anyway, take the over.

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